The recent 12-day conflict between Israel and Iran has dramatically reshaped the dynamics of the Middle East arms race. Israel's targeted strikes on Iran's missile production sites aimed to halt Tehran's advancements, especially in the critical process of fuel mixing. According to Carl Parkin of the James Martin Center, Israel believed this was a major bottleneck in Iran's production capacity. If Tehran overcomes this limitation, it could resume manufacturing missiles at high volumes, posing a renewed threat to Israel's security.Israeli leaders justified the military campaign as a necessary step to prevent Iran from achieving its ambitious goal of producing up to 20,000 missiles. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu described such a stockpile as an existential danger, given Tehran's repeated threats to destroy Israel. In response, Iranian defense officials revealed plans to develop more precise and powerful missile systems, signaling that the conflict has shifted their strategic priorities.
One key factor enabling Iran's resilience is its growing partnership with China. Evidence suggests that Chinese-made industrial mixers—essential for producing solid-fuel propellants—have appeared at missile facilities linked to Iran, including a secret site in Syria. The U.S. has already sanctioned several Chinese firms accused of supplying these materials, yet cooperation between Beijing and Tehran appears to be deepening.
China's official stance emphasizes support for Iran's sovereignty while calling for regional stability. Analysts warn that Beijing's involvement could go beyond fuel components, potentially including advanced guidance systems and microprocessors. Such technology transfers would significantly enhance Iran's missile capabilities.
Experts caution that if Iran restores its prewar production levels, Israel may find it increasingly difficult to intercept or neutralize the growing missile threat. The regime's unwavering commitment to its missile program suggests that diplomatic solutions are unlikely. Instead, the world could witness a renewed and intensified arms race, with China playing a pivotal role in shaping the next chapter of Middle Eastern security dynamics.Source: